The New Carbon Cycle

Atlantic Article Delves into Complexities and Interrelationships of Energy and Climate

A very good article from The Atlantic was shared with me by Mike Titens, one of Thompson & Knight's corporate partners and a member of our Climate Change and Renewable Energy Practice Group.  The article is entitled The Elusive Green Economy and delves into the complexities of and interrelationships between climate change, renewable energy, energy independence and security, as well as how entrepreneurship and government can have a positive impact or a negative one depending on the policies adopted. 

 

It's rare that any insight is shown on these issues by the press (or politicians for that matter).  While I may not agree with every conclusion, I was pleased to see a more in-depth discussion of these complex issues and recommend it for your reading.

US Energy Information Administration Estimates Climate Bill Impact on Consumers

The US Energy Information Administration issued a report on August 4, 2009 evaluating the economic impact on the individual US citizen of the passage of the Waxman-Markey climate change bill.  This bill is known as the American Clean Energy and Security Act, H.R. 2454.  Under the climate legislation passed by the House of Representatives in June, electricity, heating oil and other bills for average families will increase $114 in 2020 and increase $288 in 2030.  The impacts, if accurate, certainly would not create a significant burden on the average citizen.  Of course the devil is always in the details in all of these economic predictions.  The report can be reviewed on the EIA website.

Energy Efficiency and the Competitive Advantage of Our Nation

Management guru and professor Michael Porter's concludes in The Competitive Advantage of Nations that one of government's roles involves "acting as a catalyst and challenger, . . to encourage--or even push--companies to raise their aspirations and move to higher levels of competitive performance. . .."  In the Senate debate over the American Clean Energy and Security Act, H.R. 2454, the "Waxman-Markey Bill", the Senators should consider the extent to which energy efficiency contributes to both domestic firm competitive performance and to the competitive advantage of the nation as a whole.

No doubt companies that can substantially reduce their energy consumption can reduce costs and,therefore, increase profits.  As an example, Walmart is working with numerous potential vendors to reduce its energy consumption as its energy costs are significant.  Walmart's Sustainable Building Plans among other efficiency plans would reduce energy usage dramatically.  Other companies such as Dow cite substantial reductions in electrical use and concomitant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.  Dow's energy savings program  has resulted in energy savings of $8.6 billion and has prevented 86 million metric tons of CO2 from entering the atmosphere. With the ability to monetize these greenhouse gas reductions in the form of carbon credits, these firms will have an additional incentive to reduce electrical and transportation fuel consumption.

In addition, these firms will be incentivized to switch transportation fuels for their fleets of trucks.  Natural gas is now abundant in the United States with the discovery of the means to extract natural gas from the various shales from across the United States that contain huge stores of natural gas.  Not only does the use of natural gas allow the potential savings in fuel costs over the long term, but the monetization of the greenhouse gas reductions by switching from diesel to natural gas permits yet another revenue stream to assist in financing a more sustainable and more efficient company.

As a nation, these changes make the firms in the country more competitive as costs of production decrease and allow the use of domestic fuels.  To the extent, new regulations promote not only energy efficiency and fuel switching, but the invention and domestic manufacture of new technologies and products for export, then the nation become even more competitive.

Nations that reduce their dependence on foreign oil will undoubtedly increase their domestic and international competitiveness.  Those that can design new, more distributed energy sources for their troops to produce water, drive electronic-based weapons and communications, and alternative ways of fueling mechanized aspects of their sea, ground, and air-based forces will have a stronger military.  The United States armed forces are spending significant money to develop these technologies.

McKinsey & Company recently issued a report entitled Unlocking Energy Efficiency in the U.S. Economy.  In this report, the leading business consulting firm states its central conclusion as follows:

Energy efficiency offers a vast, low-cost energy resource for the U.S. economy--but only if the nation can craft a comprehensive and innovative approach to unlock it.  Significant and persistent barriers will need to be addressed at multiple levels to stimulate demand for energy efficiency and manage its delivery across more than 100 million buildings and literally billions of devices.  If executed at scale, a holistic approach would yield gross energy savings worth more than $1.2 trillion, well above the $520 billion needed through 2020 for upfront investment in efficiency measures (not including program costs).  Such a program is estimated to reduce end-use energy consumption in 2020 by 9.1 quadrillion BTUs, roughly 23 percent of projected demand, potentially abating up to 1.1 gigatons fo greenhouse gases annually.

The McKinsey Report demonstrates that a more energy efficient country is a more competitive country.

To put this in competitive context, Europe and China are pushing for more energy efficiency and the building of domestic sources of energy and fuel and the development of renewable energy technology firms, energy efficiency technology firms, and the domestic manufacturing of new 21st-century products.  Technologies like LED lighting that will reduce the consumption of electricity dramatically are the race to the future by companies around the world.  The countries that achieve development of firms with lower energy consumption and energy efficient technologies and alternative fuels will likely be the more dominant economic powers in this century.

Thus, a look back at Michael Porter's book and the application of its model to the current debate about the Senate version of the American Clean Energy and Security Act is warranted.  Putting politics and ideology aside, the empirically demonstrated need to move toward a 21st-century energy policy is critical to the future competitiveness of the nation.  This should be at least one of the critical strategies underlying the debate in the Senate over the next few months.

Obama and Canadian Prime Minister Discuss Clean Energy and Cap and Trade

President Obama and Prime Minister Stephen Harper meet in Canada and discussed various topics, but two of the specific topics they discussed were clean energy and cap and trade legislation to control greenhouse gas emissions.

On clean energy, the two pledged to send representatives of both countries to establish the Clean Energy Dialog that would include the following topics:

• Clean Energy research and development;
• Development and deployment of clean energy technology, including carbon capture and storage
• Building a more efficient electrical grid and promoting renewable energy.

The issue of carbon capture and storage is of particular importance as the Canadians would like to develop the tar sands of Alberta and a less costly carbon capture and storage approach is necessary to produce this resource while reducing the carbon dioxide emissions from the process of extracting and processing the tar sands.

The two leaders also discussed developing a cap and trade program, that both support.  President Obama recognized the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in a manner that takes into account the current economic conditions.

Significant Climate Change Developments Part 1: European Parliament Adopts 20/20/20 Plan on Climate Change

The European Parliament after eleven months of long and tumultuous debate among the various countries and constituencies reached an agreement called 20/20/20.  By 2020 the EU plans to address climate change by achieving: a 20% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, a 20% improvement in energy efficiency, and a 20% share for renewables in the EU energy mix.  The EU plans to extend and amend its cap-and-trade program referred to as the EU Emissions Trading System or ETS to control greenhouse gas emissions as well. 

A compromise was reached to address concerns by industry in the former communist countries that depend almost entirely on old coal-fired power plants for their electricity.  The EU agreed to provide free carbon allowances to industries that face stiff international competition as a result of greenhouse gas reductions if they face a 5 percent increase in costs.  The former communist countries will receive 70 percent of their carbon allowances without charge in 2013.  The exemption will be fazed out over time and end in 2020, when all allowances in these countries must be purchased at auction.

The revised EU ETS will apply from 2013 to 2020 and is designed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 21 % of 2005 levels. The EU ETS is a "cap and trade" system: it caps the overall level of emissions allowed but, within that limit, allows participants buy and sell allowances as they require, so as to cut emissions cost effectively. The Community-wide quantity of allowances issued each year will decrease in a linear fashion, so as gradually to reduce the overall level of emissions each year.
 
The ETS currently covers over 10,000 installations in the energy and industrial sectors, which are collectively responsible for close to half of the EU's emissions of CO2 and 40% of its total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (the remaining 60 % will be covered by the 'non-ETS' Effort Sharing decision).
 
In the first and second ETS trading periods (2005 -2012) the great majority of allowances were allocated free of charge to installations. The revised directive establishes auctioning from 2013 in principle (as proposed by the Commission and backed by the Environment Committee), but includes several exceptions, as advocated by the European Council on 12 December 2008.

The "effort sharing" decision sets binding national targets for each EU Member State to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from non-ETS sources (e.g. road and sea transport, buildings, services, agriculture and smaller industrial installations), between 2013 and 2020. These sources currently account for about 60% of all EU greenhouse gas emissions. The decision aims to reduce these emissions by 10% overall between 2013 and 2020, so as to contribute towards the EU's overall aim of a 20% reduction in total greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The effort sharing decision is the first of its kind worldwide.

The EU Parliament also approved a proposed directive providing for the legal framework for the new carbon dioxide capture and storage technology (CCS). To cut their CO2 emissions, industrial installations and power plants could in the future use this new technology to capture CO2 and store it "permanently and safely underground" in geological formations.  Great Britain's Prime Minister Gordon Brown succeeded in winning a fund of 6 billion Euros to invest in technology to capture and store carbon dioxide from coal-fired power plants in underground formations.  The fund will apparently be established by earmarking 300 million allowances for CCS.

A new regulation will set emission performance standards for new passenger cars registered in the EU. The compromise backs the Commission's proposed target of an average of 120g of CO2/km for the whole car industry by 2012, compared to the current levels of 160g/km. The regulation sets an average target of 130g CO2/km for new passenger cars to be reached by improvements in vehicle motor technology.  It will be supplemented by additional measures to achieve a further 10g/km reduction, so as to reach the 120g/km target, through other technical improvements. The compromise introduces a long term target for 2020 for the new car fleet of average emissions of 95 g CO2/km.
 
Manufacturers will be given interim targets of ensuring that average CO2 emissions of 65% of their fleets in January 2012, 75% in January 2013, 80% in January 2014 and 100% from 2015, have to comply with each manufacturer's specific CO2 emissions target. In case the average emissions of CO2 exceed the targets, manufacturers will have to pay fines.

The revised fuel quality directive requires fuel suppliers to reduce greenhouse gas emissions caused by extraction or cultivation, including land-use changes, transport and distribution, processing and combustion of transport fuels (i.e. fossil fuels like petrol, diesel and gas-oil and also biofuels, blends, electricity and hydrogen) of up to 10% by 2020.

The adoption of post-2012 greenhouse gas reductions is a critical first step in the process of moving toward a global carbon cap and trade system.  The EU has laid down the first step internationally to create the atmosphere for negotiations of a post-Kyoto climate change treaty. The negotiations in Poznan, Poland were to some extent inconclusive, but the Bush Administration was not going to make any commitments late in its administration and has not been willing to take steps to impose a greenhouse gas reduction program in the United States.  2009 could shape up to be the Year of Climate Change.

I will further discuss the other three developments in late 2008 that may lead to a global carbon-constrained economy.

Bi-Partisan Western Governors Call for Energy and Climate Legislation

The Western Governors Association (WGA) sent a letter to President-elect Barack Obama, urging swift action in adopting and implementing a national energy plan that would transform the country's energy infrastructure and economy while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The group of 19 Western governors from both political parties call for near-zero greenhouse gas emissions from new coal-fired electricity generation in 10 years and from existing generation no later than 2030. The bi-partisan group of governors called on President-Elect Obama to act within the first 100 days of his administration.

The organization is led by Utah Governor Jon M. Huntsman, Jr., Chairman, a Republican, and Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer, Vice Chairman, a Democrat. On Nov. 21, Huntsman and Schweitzer met with John Podesta, co-chairman of Obama's transition team, to promote the WGA proposal.

"The transformation we are talking about is broad based and will require new policies, incentives, market mechanisms and private-public partnerships to be in place by the end of next year," Huntsman said. "We plan to work with the new administration and Congress in addressing the multitude of energy challenges ahead."

"Western states are the country's energy breadbasket, but energy efficiency has also got to play a much bigger role," said Schweitzer. "That includes everything from manufacturing more fuel-efficient vehicles to changing regulatory structures so they reward utilities for achieving reduced energy usage among their customers."

The governors stated that a national energy policy must promote energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas emissions on a scale necessary to contribute to climate stabilization. They state the position that the Obama administration's energy/climate policy must maximize the economic development opportunities offered by clean energy; ensure energy costs are affordable and support a sustainable, growing economy. They urge the incoming administration to increase the proportion of energy supplies that come from domestic resources and friendly trading partners; and minimize adverse environmental impacts.

Within the first 100 days, the governors are calling on the Obama administration to:

--Establish an aggressive and achievable national greenhouse gas emissions reduction goal that will put the United States on a path to contribute to global climate stabilization.

--Propose a mandatory national system for reducing greenhouse gas emissions that makes maximum use of market-based mechanisms. Revenue raised should not be used as a means of sustaining or expanding general governmental operations.

--Pursue a national energy efficiency program to reduce existing and future energy demand and thereby reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

--Establish an oil import reduction goal that strengthens energy security and independence. Since nearly 90 percent of oil is used for transportation, an energy plan must bring more fuel-efficient and near-zero emission vehicles into the market; increase the supply of domestically produced, low-carbon fuels; minimize the economic and technological uncertainties inherent in deploying high efficiency vehicles and developing and using non-petroleum transportation fuels; and reduce vehicle miles traveled and increase mass movement of people and goods.

--Create a substantial, long-term national public investment on the scale of tens of billions of dollars annually, along with a similar investment from the private sector, to support the kind of basic and applied research and deployment of clean energy technology and infrastructure that will result in:

--Near-zero greenhouse gas emissions from new coal-fired electricity generation in 10 years and from existing generation no later than 2030.

--Dramatically increased energy from wind, solar, geothermal, hydro and biomass resources.

--Expansion and upgrade of the electricity transmission grid and storage capabilities.

--Advanced vehicle and battery technologies and alternative transportation fuels.

--Next generation energy efficiency technologies and practices.

The governors also urge affordability for lower income energy consumers through energy efficiency and cost assistance programs. They support workforce development and clean energy jobs, adaptation to climate change impacts, reduced consumer impacts - particularly for low-income consumers - and transition assistance to industries.

"While the first 100 days are critical, these actions only represent the first steps," the governors say in their letter. "Within the next year, a comprehensive energy plan must be enacted that will set the direction of this nation for the next 50 years. This plan, though adjustable over time, must establish measurable goals, strategies, milestones and funding to ensure that we are moving towards affordable and environmentally responsible energy security and independence."

"We must not repeat the mistakes of the past," the governors declared in their letter. "We must have the collective political will and resolve to create and implement a long-term comprehensive energy policy despite short-term political and market fluctuations. The future of our nation depends upon it."

The environment really isn't a red or a blue issue. It's an American issue. I'm trying my very best as just one Republican, and I know there are others, to remind people of that fact — and that it will take a bipartisan effort," the Utah governor said.

The governors are calling in a bi-partisan way for action on energy policy. The biggest question is whether US senators can find a bi-partisan solution that reflects the governors’ proposal. Huntsman has been criticized by some Republicans for supporting climate change legislation and cap and trade.

"The Republican values I'm speaking to are right out of ... Teddy Roosevelt's playbook. He taught us all to revere our land, to leave a legacy ... to the next generation," Huntsman responded to criticism from some Republicans. "I'm also doing a very Republican thing to incentivize and develop technologies that are going to fuel our economy."

As 2009 approaches and the new administration prepares to work on climate legislation in the new Congress, this call by governors of both parties for climate and energy legislation suggests growing pressure on Congress to pass a climate bill. It appears only a possible filibuster in the Senate stands in the way of climate legislation. How the votes will come out on a climate filibuster remains to be seen.

Article Published in Fuel Magazine Discusses How Carbon Credits Can Finance Use of Flared Gas

In the July 2008 edition of FUEL magazine I published an article discussing how carbon credits can serve to help finance local uses of natural gas that is otherwise flared or vented.  The article is entitled “Carbon Credits: New Uses for Financing Natural Gas.” 

In the article, it is explained that “The World Bank has formed a group that is working to reduce natural gas venting or flaring, based in part on its recent report estimating global vented or flared natural gas reaches about 14 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d). The burning of the natural gas reportedly produces 400 million tons a year of carbon dioxide, which GHG [greenhouse gases] scientists blame for contributing to climate change.”

The article also discusses the fact that  “one of the means by which natural gas is captured and moved to markets such as the United States is through liquid natural gas (LNG) projects.”  However, “often there is no perceived market for this gas, and no known way of financing the transport of it to market if identified.” The article explains how GHG emission reductions can produce carbon credits, which can then be sold and serve as a basis for helping finance more local markets for flared natural gas.  Deatherage discusses carbon trading, “pollution rights,” cap-and-trade systems, and other market aspects of climate change. I conclude that “emission markets encourage capital to reduce GHGs and provide economic benefit to developing countries to be invested in these projects as they find substantial return on their investments.  Carbon trading may prove to be a key element to many of these projects, including those to reduce the venting and flaring of natural gas.”

To view the full article, please visit www.hartfuel.com.

MIT Discovery May Revolutionize Power Production through Solar Power and May Resolve Greenhouse Gas Emissions Challenge

Scientists at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) have announced a discovery that may unleash solar power to generate power during the day and generate oxygen and hydrogen to produce power from fuel cells at night.  This discovery has the potential to revolutionize power production over the next ten years.

Until now, solar power has been a daytime-only energy source, because storing extra solar energy for later use is prohibitively expensive and grossly inefficient. With today's announcement, MIT researchers have hit upon a simple, inexpensive, highly efficient process for storing solar energy.

Requiring nothing but abundant, non-toxic natural materials, this discovery could unlock the most potent, carbon-free energy source of all: the sun. "This is the nirvana of what we've been talking about for years," said MIT's Daniel Nocera, the Henry Dreyfus Professor of Energy at MIT and senior author of a paper describing the work in the July 31 issue of Science. "Solar power has always been a limited, far-off solution. Now we can seriously think about solar power as unlimited and soon."

Inspired by the photosynthesis performed by plants, Nocera and Matthew Kanan, a postdoctoral fellow in Nocera's lab, have developed an unprecedented process that will allow the sun's energy to be used to split water into hydrogen and oxygen gases. Later, the oxygen and hydrogen may be recombined inside a fuel cell, creating carbon-free electricity to power your house or your electric car, day or night.

The key component in Nocera and Kanan's new process is a new catalyst that produces oxygen gas from water; another catalyst produces valuable hydrogen gas. The new catalyst consists of cobalt metal, phosphate and an electrode, placed in water. When electricity -- whether from a photovoltaic cell, a wind turbine or any other source -- runs through the electrode, the cobalt and phosphate form a thin film on the electrode, and oxygen gas is produced.

Combined with another catalyst, such as platinum, that can produce hydrogen gas from water, the system can duplicate the water splitting reaction that occurs during photosynthesis.

The new catalyst works at room temperature, in neutral pH water, and it's easy to set up, Nocera said. "That's why I know this is going to work. It's so easy to implement," he said.

"This is just the beginning," said Nocera, principal investigator for the Solar Revolution Project funded by the Chesonis Family Foundation and co-Director of the Eni-MIT Solar Frontiers Center. "The scientific community is really going to run with this."

James Barber, a leader in the study of photosynthesis who was not involved in this research, called the discovery by Nocera and Kanan a "giant leap" toward generating clean, carbon-free energy on a massive scale.

"This is a major discovery with enormous implications for the future prosperity of humankind," said Barber, the Ernst Chain Professor of Biochemistry at Imperial College London. "The importance of their discovery cannot be overstated since it opens up the door for developing new technologies for energy production thus reducing our dependence for fossil fuels and addressing the global climate change problem."

Currently available electrolyzers, which split water with electricity and are often used industrially, are not suited for artificial photosynthesis because they are very expensive and require a highly basic (non-benign) environment that has little to do with the conditions under which photosynthesis operates.

More engineering work needs to be done to integrate the new scientific discovery into existing photovoltaic systems, but Nocera said he is confident that such systems will become a reality.

"This is just the beginning," said Nocera, principal investigator for the Solar Revolution Project funded by the Chesonis Family Foundation and co-Director of the Eni-MIT Solar Frontiers Center. "The scientific community is really going to run with this."

Nocera hopes that within 10 years, homeowners will be able to power their homes in daylight through photovoltaic cells, while using excess solar energy to produce hydrogen and oxygen to power their own household fuel cell. Electricity-by-wire from a central source could be a thing of the past.

The project is part of the MIT Energy Initiative, a program designed to help transform the global energy system to meet the needs of the future and to help build a bridge to that future by improving today's energy systems. MITEI Director Ernest Moniz, Cecil and Ida Green Professor of Physics and Engineering Systems, noted that "this discovery in the Nocera lab demonstrates that moving up the transformation of our energy supply system to one based on renewables will depend heavily on frontier basic science."

The success of the Nocera lab shows the impact of a mixture of funding sources - governments, philanthropy, and industry. This project was funded by the National Science Foundation and by the Chesonis Family Foundation, which gave MIT $10 million this spring to launch the Solar Revolution Project, with a goal to make the large scale deployment of solar energy within 10 years.

After Lierberman-Warner Defeat, Business Leaders Call for Action on Climate Change

The Lieberman-Warner Bill was blocked by a Republican fillibuster in the Senate a few weeks ago.    While it was not expected to get through the Senate and then the House this year, most of the potentially regulated industries expect something to be passed in the next two years.  The international negotiation and discussion of a post-Kyoto treaty continues.  As part of this public discussion, a series of CEOs from large, multi-national companies have called for action on climate change.  These leaders are part of the World Economic Forum.

A Steering Board consisting of the following World Economic Forum Industry Partner companies guided development of this CEO statement for the G8: Alcoa (USA), AIG (USA), Applied Materials (USA), Basic Element (Russian Federation), British Airways (UK), Deutsche Bank (Germany), Duke Energy (USA), Electricité de France (EdF) (France), Eskom (South Africa), Petrobras (Brazil), RusHydro (Russian Federation), Royal Dutch Shell (Netherlands), Telstra (Australia), Tokyo Electric Power (Japan), TNT (Netherlands), Vattenfall (Sweden).

The comprehensive statement can be found at CEO Climate Policy Recommendations to G8 Leaders. 

One of the leaders of this group, Alain Belda, CEO of Alcoa, stated, "We know we must address climate change. We may not have sorted out every detail, but we are willing to take a leadership position and embrace open dialogue... that will get us all to our common goals of protecting our world for future generations. The changes that are needed can't be incremental; we need major breakthroughs."

"Energy and the environment are the two great social and engineering challenges of our time and will only increase in importance as world economies continue to grow. As businesses and government prepare for post-Kyoto, these proposed climate change policy recommendations serve as a useful guide," advised Mike Splinter, President and CEO of Applied Materials."

One of the reccommendations of the CEOs is that the system be "market-oriented."

• Comprehensive. For environmental effectiveness and economic efficiency, the

framework should encompass all major economies, in particular the G20

economies,11 all major greenhouse gases (not just carbon dioxide) and the

principal greenhouse house gas-emitting sectors, including energy,

transportation, buildings and deforestation/land use change.

• Commitments-based. The framework should establish clear international

commitments that are “nationally appropriate”; “measurable, reportable and

verifiable”; and, in the case of developing countries, “enabled by technology,

financing and capacity-building”.

• Flexible. The international framework should respect and preserve the

prerogative of national governments to choose their own domestic policy

options to address climate change. The new framework should accommodate

this diversity by allowing variation in the magnitude and timing of countries’

commitments, providing that the overall framework is capable of meeting the

agreed intermediate and long-term environmental goals.

• Equitable. To achieve broad participation, the framework must reflect the

fundamental principle of “common but differentiated responsibilities”13. In light of

their greater historic contribution to climate change, and their stronger

capacities, G8 and other developed country governments should show

leadership in sharing the burden of addressing climate change. We would

support such an outcome. We also note that in moving forward, future equity

and future responsibilities will require developing countries to also take on clear

emission reduction commitments.

• Framed within the context of sustainable development. The new

framework must view climate change within the context of the wider

development challenge faced by many of the poorer countries in the world. The

new framework must be designed to allow for economic growth in developing

countries, while meeting its overall international environmental objectives.14 As

agreed in the Bali Action Plan, the framework should provide incentives and

support for mitigation efforts in developing countries, including finance for

technology deployment and institutional/policy development and by providing

adaptation assistance to those countries most vulnerable to climate impacts. In

combination, these elements could provide tangible support to the sustainable

development and economic growth aspirations of developing countries.

• Technology-enabling. The framework should promote an international level

playing field to support the rapid RD&D of all clean energy and fuel technologies

that can lower GHG emissions and technologies that can help adapt to climate

change. In the near term it should encourage the wide-scale deployment of all

best available technologies that improve energy efficiency to achieve emission

reductions. It must enable research, development, demonstration and

deployment (RDD&D) of the next generation clean energy technologies, in

particular those needed to de-carbonize coal powered energy emissions. It

must also contain mechanisms to protect the rights of technology owners.

• Predictable. The long-term business strategies and investments necessary to

achieve such a paradigm shift are feasible only in the context of a stable,

predictable international policy framework, based on the principles set out

above. As this framework evolves, business must be confident that the

UNFCCC will remain the principal venue for it; that nations will honour their

commitments regardless of changes in government, and that successive

agreements will be negotiated, accepted and implemented in a timely manner.

Carbon trading or a cap-and-trade emissions market for greenhouse gas reductions is therefore a fundamental aspect of their recommendations--showing a clear preference by industry and business for a cap-and-trade system in any treaty that will be negotiated to follow Kyoto.

Company Claims to Produce "Green Crude" from Algae

The Los Angeles Times reports that Sapphire Energy has demonstrated a process to use algae, sunlight, carbon dioxide and non-potable water to make "green crude."   The company claims that the “green crude” is chemically equivalent to the light, sweet crude oil that has been fetching more than $130 a barrel in New York futures trading.

Chief Executive Jason Pyle said that the company's green crude could be processed in existing oil refineries and that the resulting fuels could power existing cars and trucks as petroleum-based gasoline and diesel do now.